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Chip stocks fall on downgrade, CEOs talk recovery

BARCELONA/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – Chip stocks fell on Thursday after Bank of America Merrill Lynch downgraded the sector on a possible inventory correction, although two of Europe&&9;s top chipmakers were upbeat about recovery prospects.

BofA Merrill Lynch lowered its 2010 growth forecast for the global semiconductor industry and downgraded 10 chipmakers, including Intel Corp (INTC.O), turning more cautious on the group on expectations of a modest overshoot in global supply chain inventories.

"While we believe the correction will likely prove short and shallow, we think any hint of a correction in the supply chain could punish (semiconductor) stocks," BofA Merrill wrote in a note to clients.

The downgrade came two weeks after Morgan Stanley analyst Mark Lipacis noted that the good news for many semiconductor stocks had already been "baked in" and PC component suppliers would have a difficult time beating expectations.

Auriga analyst Daniel Berenbaum said notions of a strong rebound for the industry next year may not be realistic.

"Things wound up better this year than some of our worst fears, but I think demand has been pulled forward," he said. "I&&9;m concerned that everybody expects a corporate PC refresh in 2010 -- maybe it&&9;ll happen, maybe it won&&9;t happen, but I do believe it&&9;s already built into stocks."

Shares of chipmakers fell across the board on Thursday. Bellwether Intel dropped 4.5 percent, smaller rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD.N) 2.7 percent and Infineon Technologies AG (IFXGn.DE) fell 7 percent. The DJ STOXX European Technology Index (.SX8P) shed 2.9 percent and the Philadelphia semiconductor index (.SOXX) fell 3.5 percent.

German chip group Infineon was bullish on its fiscal 2010 outlook, saying sales could grow by more than 10 percent if the world economy continued to grow at its present pace. But analysts weren&&9;t convinced.

Traders saw as negative remarks by Infineon Chief Executive Peter Bauer that the company would need to boost profit margins well above 10 percent as it seeks to generate sustainable earnings amid the current recovery quick cash.

"Despite Infineon beating consensus estimates, we expected better numbers for the fourth quarter, as well as a more optimistic outlook for the running quarter, following bullish statements from competitors," Sal Oppenheim analyst Juergen Wagner wrote, keeping a "reduce" rating on the stock.

Dutch chip equipment maker ASML Holding NV (ASML.AS) -- whose order book is viewed as a barometer for major chipmakers such as Intel or Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (2330.TW) -- also said that it still expects order intake in October-December to be at least on the same level as in the previous quarter.

But shares in ASML closed down 6.14 percent after BofA Merrill Lynch downgraded the stock to "neutral" from "buy."

Around the globe, chipmakers are recovering from a prolonged downturn. Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930.KS), the world&&9;s top maker of memory chips and LCD screens, in late October posted its best quarterly net profit and forecast a strong 2010 due to global turnaround in the sector.

Earlier this week, research firm Gartner raised its forecasts for the chip market in 2009, saying it now sees it falling 11.4 percent to &&6;226 billion, compared with a previous forecast for a 17 percent fall.

Next year Gartner sees the market growing 13 percent.

Taiwan&&9;s TSMC, the world&&9;s top contract chip maker, also posted its biggest quarterly net profit in a year last month and was bullish about future capital spending, aiming to invest &&6;2.5 billion on upgrading its technology.

(Additional reporting by Tenzin Pema, S. John Tilak in Bangalore; Nicola Leske in Barcelona and Hakan Ersen and Tyler Sitte in Frankfurt; Editing by David Cowell and Gerald E. McCormick)

Chip stocks fall on downgrade, CEOs talk recovery

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Top Ten: MarketWatchs top stories of the week, Nov. 16-20

Most U.S. stocks ended the week with losses, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a small rise for the period thanks to gains on Friday in health care stocks and consumer-related shares. Tech shares were the biggest losers on the week.

The Dow fell 14.28 points or 0.1% on Friday to close at 10,318.16. For the week the index rose 0.5%. The Nasdaq Composite fell 10.78 points or 0.5% to close at 2,146.04 on Friday for a weekly loss of 1%. The broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 3.52 points or 0.3% to close at 1,091.38. For the week the benchmark index fell 0.2%.

Stay tuned to MarketWatch over the weekend for the latest on the health care reform bill and all the rest of the news you need. Our weekend features include a look at the market for initial public offerings and an examination of how discount airlines are ramping up their Web sites to attack the bigger carriers on a new front.

Please take a few minutes to view our weekly look ahead videos.

U.S. Week Ahead: Housing Data, Holiday Sales

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Asia's Week Ahead: GDP, Auto Makers In Focus

-- Christopher Noble, assistant managing editor

Visit to the East

President Barack Obama appears to have come away with few tangible gains on the economic and trade front during his first state visit to China, although his message on Internet freedom and human rights are likely to resonate on Chinese Web sites in coming months, analysts say. Some China-watchers cautioned it was too early to say if Obama's trip to the country will make less of an impression than Bill Clinton's 1999 visit. Read more about Obama's trip East.

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Companies are bombarding the bond market with debt sales this month, pushing issuance above $40 billion, as they take advantage of low rates to build acquisition war chests, prepare to buy back stock and build up cash to finance growth. Lockheed Martin Corp. , Cisco Systems Inc. , Waste Management Inc. and Kellogg Co. are among the corporations that have collectively sold $42 billion in debt this month, including $24 billion last week. Read more about the latest moves in the corporate-bond market.

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House shopping usually slows down in the winter, as people put their home searches on hold to trim the tree, buy presents to put under it and avoid the chilly weather. This winter, however, might be different, thanks to the extended -- and expanded -- first-time home-buyer tax credit. Here are five tips on tapping the new tax credit.

Lower profit at Home Depot

Home Depot Inc. reported that its fiscal third-quarter profit fell a less-than-expected 8.9%, after the home-improvement retailer controlled expenses. The company also raised its full-year outlook, even though its implied fourth-quarter forecast fell short of Wall Street expectations. Read more about Home Depot's results.

More losses for GM

Fresh out of bankruptcy, General Motors Co payday loan lenders. reported a third-quarter loss of $1.15 billion this week, as government stimulus programs helped the automaker increase its sales and reduce inventory. Further, the company said it would begin paying down its debt to the U.S. and Canadian governments in December, ahead of schedule, thanks to improving global economic conditions and stabilizing industry sales. Read more about GM's results.

Nestlé takes aim at Starbucks

An instant-coffee war is brewing. A month after Starbucks' Via Ready Brew invaded Nestlé's jealously guarded turf, the giant Swiss food maker has mounted a spirited counteroffensive, passing out free samples of its Nescafé Taster's Choice instant coffee across several key U.S. cities. It's hard to fathom the marketing muscle Nestlé and Starbucks are throwing behind their rival instant brews. But the stakes are enormous. Read more about the instant-coffee market.

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Google Inc. and Microsoft Corp. kicked their battle for personal computing supremacy into a higher gear, with Microsoft bragging about strong sales of its latest operating system and Google promoting its contrasting approach to PC operating systems. Read MarketWatch's story about Google and Microsoft's operating system battle.

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This week, Britain's Labour government detailed a legislative agenda that includes measures to cap bankers' pay and to attack the budget deficit as the nation prepares for an election that must take place by June. Opposition leaders branded the Queen's Speech, written by the government and delivered by Queen Elizabeth II in the House of Lords, as pre-election grandstanding. The Queen's Speech is the central part of the official state opening of Parliament, which marks the beginning of a new, annual parliamentary session. Read more about the Queen's Speech.

Citi makes a move from Claren Road

Citigroup Inc. recently redeemed its investment with Claren Road Asset Management after helping launch the hedge-fund firm in 2005, according to two people familiar with the matter. Citi redeemed all of its investment, roughly $250 million, the people said on condition of anonymity. The decision to withdraw wasn't driven by Claren Road's performance, which has been solid through the financial crisis. Claren Road told one person that Citigroup pulled its investment as part of a broader decision to redeem holdings from outside hedge funds. Read more about Claren Road.

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Two women have emerged as leading thinkers and doers in the post-financial crisis world. Sheila Bari of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and Elizabeth Warren who leads Congress's oversight for the $700 billion bank bailout package have been leading the charge for meaningful reform in the face of resistance from the old boy network.

Top Ten: MarketWatch's top stories of the week, Nov. 16-20

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